Maker timing ledger

Tesla Optimus Gen 2 timing claims

What was said, when it was said, and what later sources establish about the outcome. Each target retains its original wording and date precision.

Records last verified Oct 13, 2026 · Send a correction

Tesla Optimus Gen 2 specifications →
Timing-status legend
Pending
Outcome has not been resolved in the sources we checked. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Met
A primary source confirms the target was met.
Slipped
The target period passed and primary evidence shows it had not happened.
Revised
The maker restated a target; the new claim links to the earlier one.
Withdrawn
The maker withdrew the claim.
  1. Met

    Stated by Tesla · Website

    Reveal

    Tesla published its official Optimus Gen 2 introduction video on 13 December 2023.

    Target date
    Dec 13, 2023
    Target wording
    Official introduction video published on 13 December 2023

    Resolution · Dec 13, 2023

    The official Tesla video's title, description and publication metadata identify the Gen 2 introduction. This records the publication milestone, not an earlier forecast.

  2. Pending

    Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call

    Feature

    Musk expected several thousand Optimus robots to perform useful work in Tesla factories by year-end 2025. He did not specify a hardware generation; this is read through a third-party transcript.

    Target date
    2025
    Target wording
    By the end of 2025

    No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.

  3. Pending

    Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter

    Production Start

    “planned pilot production in 2025.”

    Tesla planned Optimus pilot production in 2025. This was a program-level statement made during Gen 2 development; it did not name the generation to be manufactured.

    Target date
    2025
    Target wording
    Pilot production during 2025

    No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.

  4. Pending

    Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call

    Volume

    Musk described an internal 2025 plan for roughly 10,000 Optimus builds, while doubting the exact total and expressing confidence in several thousand. Generation was unspecified; this is a third-party transcript paraphrase.

    Target date
    2025
    Target wording
    By the end of 2025

    No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.

  5. Pending

    Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call

    Feature

    Musk reaffirmed an expectation of thousands of Optimus robots doing useful work in Tesla factories by the end of 2025. Generation remained unspecified; this is a third-party transcript paraphrase.

    Target date
    2025
    Target wording
    By the end of 2025

    No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.

  6. Pending

    Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter

    Production Start

    Tesla reiterated plans for Optimus builds on its Fremont pilot production line in 2025 and wider useful-work deployment across Tesla factories. The statement did not specify a generation or quantity.

    Target date
    2025
    Target wording
    Builds on the Fremont pilot production line in 2025

    No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.

Evidence

Sources

  1. [s1] Tesla Q4 and FY 2024 Update, Exhibit 99.1 ↗

    Tesla · official · published Jan 29, 2025 · accessed Oct 13, 2026

  2. [s2] Tesla Q4 2024 earnings call — third-party transcript ↗

    Stock Analysis · press · published Jan 29, 2025 · accessed Oct 13, 2026

  3. [s3] Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call — third-party transcript ↗

    Stock Analysis · press · published Apr 22, 2025 · accessed Oct 13, 2026

  4. [s4] Optimus - Gen 2 | Tesla ↗

    Tesla · video · published Dec 13, 2023 · accessed Oct 13, 2026

  5. [s5] Tesla Q1 2025 Update, Exhibit 99.1 ↗

    Tesla · official · published Apr 22, 2025 · accessed Oct 13, 2026

Other timelines

Trackers