Maker timing ledger
What was said, when it was said, and what later sources establish about the outcome. Each target retains its original wording and date precision.
Records last verified Oct 13, 2026 · Send a correction
Tesla Optimus V3 specifications →Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Interview
At Davos, Musk tentatively expected Optimus to perform more complex tasks in an industrial setting by the end of 2026. He did not specify a hardware generation.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Interview
“by the end of next year I think we'd be selling humanoid robots to the public.”
At Davos, Musk tentatively forecast selling humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027, subject to adequate reliability, safety and functionality. He did not identify a saleable generation.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter
Tesla targeted eventual capacity of one million robots annually for its first Optimus production line. This was a capacity goal, with no attainment date supplied.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter
Tesla described Gen 3 as its first mass-production design and planned to begin production before 2026 ended.
Resolution · Apr 22, 2026
In the official April earnings call, Musk tentatively narrowed the production-start window to late July or August 2026.
Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter
“In Q1 of this year, we plan to unveil the Gen 3 version of Optimus”
Tesla planned to unveil Optimus Gen 3 in the first quarter of 2026, with an updated hand design.
Resolution · Apr 22, 2026
In the official April earnings call, Musk tentatively shifted the unveiling to mid-2026 and then suggested timing it closer to production.
Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter
Tesla described the Texas second-generation manufacturing line as designed for long-term capacity of ten million robots annually. Manufacturing-line generation does not identify an Optimus hardware generation.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call
Musk tentatively forecast Texas Optimus production around summer 2027, without identifying a hardware generation.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call
Musk tentatively forecast Fremont Optimus production in late July or August 2026, with an initially slow ramp.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Elon Musk, Tesla · Earnings Call
Musk tentatively expected to show Optimus V3 around mid-2026. In the same call, he suggested moving the unveiling closer to production; neither statement gave a fixed date.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Stated by Tesla · Shareholder Letter
Tesla expected Fremont Optimus production to begin soon, during 2026. It said the initial builds would serve the Optimus Academy for data collection and development; customer shipments were not promised.
No sourced resolution recorded. Pending ≠ on schedule.
Evidence
World Economic Forum · official · accessed Oct 13, 2026
World Economic Forum · official · published Jan 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Tesla · official · published Jan 28, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Stock Analysis · press · published Apr 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Tesla · official · published Apr 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Tesla · official · published Jul 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Tesla · video · published Apr 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026
Tesla · official · published Apr 22, 2026 · accessed Oct 13, 2026